Every daily figure our model has published for oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz, with the working range that came with it. These are our own model’s past outputs, not a republished official series — see sources & methodology for how each estimate and its range are built, and for what a blank row (no estimate published) means.
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47 days recorded (41 with a published estimate), 2026-09-16 to 2026-11-01.
| Date (UTC) | Estimate | Working range (mbd) | Method | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 6.3 | 4.9–15.4 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-31 | 6.3 | 4.9–15.3 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-30 | 6.3 | 4.9–15.2 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-29 | 6.3 | 4.9–15.1 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-28 | 6.3 | 4.9–15.0 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-27 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.9 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-26 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.8 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-25 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.7 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-24 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.6 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-23 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.5 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-22 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.4 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-21 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.3 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-20 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.2 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-19 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.1 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-18 | 6.3 | 4.9–14.0 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-17 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.9 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-16 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.8 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-15 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.7 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-14 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.6 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-13 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.5 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-12 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.4 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-11 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.3 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-10 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.2 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-09 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.1 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-08 | 6.3 | 4.9–13.0 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-07 | 6.3 | 4.9–12.9 | GPCI transit-share (extrapolated past our tested horizon) | disrupted |
| 2026-10-06 | — | no estimate published — past our tested horizon | — | disrupted |
| 2026-10-05 | — | no estimate published — past our tested horizon | — | disrupted |
| 2026-10-04 | — | no estimate published — past our tested horizon | — | disrupted |
| 2026-10-03 | — | no estimate published — past our tested horizon | — | disrupted |
| 2026-10-02 | — | no estimate published — past our tested horizon | — | disrupted |
| 2026-10-01 | — | no estimate published — past our tested horizon | — | disrupted |
| 2026-09-30 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-29 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-28 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-26 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-25 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-24 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-23 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-22 | 5.6 | 4.9–10.8 | GPCI transit-share | disrupted |
| 2026-09-21 | 4.9 | 1.5–6.9 | Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method) | disrupted |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.9 | 1.5–6.9 | Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method) | disrupted |
| 2026-09-19 | 4.9 | 1.5–6.9 | Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method) | disrupted |
| 2026-09-18 | 4.9 | 1.5–6.9 | Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method) | disrupted |
| 2026-09-17 | 4.9 | 1.5–6.9 | Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method) | disrupted |
| 2026-09-16 | 4.9 | 1.5–6.9 | Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method) | disrupted |