Our own daily model estimates of oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz, each shown with its working range. Not a measurement. Full archive: https://oilthroughhormuz.com/data/history.json and https://oilthroughhormuz.com/data/history.csv. https://oilthroughhormuz.com/feed.xml 2026-11-02T13:26:53Z Hormuz Oil Tracker https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-11-01 2026-11-02T13:26:53Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-11-01, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 15.4 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-31 2026-11-01T11:48:03Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-31, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 15.3 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-30 2026-10-31T10:53:32Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-30, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 15.2 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-29 2026-10-30T11:21:17Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-29, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 15.1 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-28 2026-10-29T11:28:57Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-28, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 15.0 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-27 2026-10-28T11:18:14Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-27, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-26 2026-10-27T10:29:50Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-26, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-25 2026-10-26T11:02:19Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-25, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.7 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-24 2026-10-25T09:46:27Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-24, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.6 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-23 2026-10-24T09:29:26Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-23, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.5 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-22 2026-10-23T10:00:22Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-22, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.4 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-21 2026-10-22T10:06:58Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-21, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.3 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-20 2026-10-21T10:04:51Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-20, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.2 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-19 2026-10-20T09:59:25Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-19, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.1 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-18 2026-10-19T10:42:31Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-18, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 14.0 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-17 2026-10-18T09:31:45Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-17, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-16 2026-10-17T09:17:59Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-16, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-15 2026-10-16T09:44:19Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-15, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.7 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-14 2026-10-15T09:51:19Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-14, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.6 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-13 2026-10-14T10:08:13Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-13, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.5 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-12 2026-10-13T12:40:26Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-12, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.4 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-11 2026-10-12T13:06:23Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-11, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.3 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-10 2026-10-11T11:22:33Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-10, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.2 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-09 2026-10-10T11:09:02Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-09, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.1 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-08 2026-10-09T11:52:04Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-08, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 13.0 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-07 2026-10-08T11:59:48Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-10-07, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 12.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. This estimate is extrapolated past our tested horizon, so its range is wider than our normal back-tested band. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-06 2026-10-07T11:45:11Z

Our model did not publish a daily figure for 2026-10-06: this date falls past the one-quarter horizon the method has been back-tested over (anchor quarter 2Q26). We stop rather than extrapolate past what we have tested; see the methodology at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/sources.html.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-05 2026-10-06T12:00:06Z

Our model did not publish a daily figure for 2026-10-05: this date falls past the one-quarter horizon the method has been back-tested over (anchor quarter 2Q26). We stop rather than extrapolate past what we have tested; see the methodology at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/sources.html.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-04 2026-10-05T12:13:55Z

Our model did not publish a daily figure for 2026-10-04: this date falls past the one-quarter horizon the method has been back-tested over (anchor quarter 2Q26). We stop rather than extrapolate past what we have tested; see the methodology at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/sources.html.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-03 2026-10-04T11:05:06Z

Our model did not publish a daily figure for 2026-10-03: this date falls past the one-quarter horizon the method has been back-tested over (anchor quarter 2Q26). We stop rather than extrapolate past what we have tested; see the methodology at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/sources.html.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-02 2026-10-03T10:22:35Z

Our model did not publish a daily figure for 2026-10-02: this date falls past the one-quarter horizon the method has been back-tested over (anchor quarter 2Q26). We stop rather than extrapolate past what we have tested; see the methodology at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/sources.html.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-10-01 2026-10-02T11:04:45Z

Our model did not publish a daily figure for 2026-10-01: this date falls past the one-quarter horizon the method has been back-tested over (anchor quarter 2Q26). We stop rather than extrapolate past what we have tested; see the methodology at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/sources.html.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-30 2026-10-01T11:35:29Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-30, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-29 2026-09-30T11:08:34Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-29, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-28 2026-09-29T11:20:25Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-28, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-27 2026-09-28T11:39:17Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-27, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-26 2026-09-27T10:31:46Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-26, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-25 2026-09-26T09:50:06Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-25, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-24 2026-09-25T10:09:51Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-24, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-23 2026-09-24T09:57:01Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-23, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-22 2026-09-23T11:09:46Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-22, not a measurement. Working range 4.9 to 10.8 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: GPCI transit-share, anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-21 2026-09-22T09:54:32Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-21, not a measurement. Working range 1.5 to 6.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method), anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-20 2026-09-21T10:39:21Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-20, not a measurement. Working range 1.5 to 6.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method), anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-19 2026-09-20T09:46:39Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-19, not a measurement. Working range 1.5 to 6.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method), anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-18 2026-09-19T17:15:37Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-18, not a measurement. Working range 1.5 to 6.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method), anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-17 2026-09-18T02:22:53Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-17, not a measurement. Working range 1.5 to 6.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method), anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.

https://oilthroughhormuz.com/history.html#2026-09-16 2026-09-17T15:25:03Z

This is our own model's estimate for 2026-09-16, not a measurement. Working range 1.5 to 6.9 million barrels per day; treat the range as the answer. Method: Persistence (pre-2026-09-23 method), anchored on 2Q26. Full methodology and today's figure at https://oilthroughhormuz.com/.